ISBA 2000: Poster Sessions
MONDAY 29 MAY: POSTER SESSION 1
- The use of Bayes' factors for flood protection policy
- E.H. Chbab, h.chbab@riza.rws.minvenw.nl
- (with J.M. van Noortwijk, M.T. Duits, and P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder)
- On goodness of fit for time series models
- Cathy W S Chen, Taiwan, chenws@fcu.edu.tw
- Simplifying Bayesian networks: An approximation algorithm
- Maria de Orio, Duke University, maria@isds.duke.edu
- (with M Lavine)
- Satisfying comonotonic book-making with non-additive probabilities
- Enrico Diecidue, Tilburg University, e.diecidue@kub.nl
- (with Peter Wakker)
- Comparisons of methods for constructing Bayesian trees
- Blaise Egan, Goldsmiths College, blaise.egan@bt.com
- (with L Pettit)
- An algorithm to sample QTLs in complex pedigrees
- Soledad Fernandez, Iowa State University, soledad@iastate.edu
- (with Alicia Carriquiry and Rohan Fernando)
- Multiresolution autoregressions and Markov random fields
- Marco Ferreira, Duke University, marco@stat.duke.edu
- (with Herbie Lee, David Higdon and Mike West)
- Bayesian mixture modeling with an unknown number of components
- Rainer Fischer, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Plasmaphysik, Rainer.Fischer@ipp.mpg.de
- Stochastic optimisation for cost-effective Bayesian quality assessment in health
- Dimitris Fouskakis, University of Bath, d.draper@maths.bath.ac.uk
- (with David Draper)
- Bayesian semi-parametric modelling for improved "league-table" quality monitoring in health and education
- Mark Gittoes, University of Bath, d.draper@maths.bath.ac.uk
- (with David Draper)
- Local approaches to Bayesian model building
- James Griffin, NCR Knowledge Lab., james.griffin@ncr.com
- (with Clive Hoggart)
- Applying Bayesian methodology to the single period inventory model
- Ulku Gurler, Bilkent University, ulku@Bilkent.edu.tr
- Multivariate autoregressions and decompositions with model order uncertainty
- Gabriel Huerta, CIMAT, Mexico, ghuerta@spin.com.mx
- (with Raquel Prado)
- Criteria for some multivariate tests of homogeneity with applications in multisample clustering
- Helena Jelenkowska, University of Agriculture Poland, jelen@ursus.ar.lublin.pl
- A non-parametric method for long-term forecasting of interest rates
- Vladimir Ladyzhets, Ernst & Young, Vlad.Ladyzhets@ey.com
- Optimal problems in credibility
- Zinoviy Landsman, University of Haifa, landsman@stat.haifa.ac.il
- (with U. Makov)
- Bayesian decision-making in inventory modelling
- Richard Levine, University of California at Davis, ralevine@ucdavis.edu
- (with Emre Berk)
- Multidimensional item response model: A Bayesian approach
- Michalis Linardakis, Athens University of Economics and Business, michalis@aueb.gr
- (with P. Dellaportas)
- Bayesian analysis of multivariate futures in commodity markets
- Viridiana Lourdes, Duke University, vl@stat.duke.edu
- (with Mike West and James Smith)
- Estimating heritability of twin data by incorporating historical
information: Variance components approach
- Amita K Manatunga, Emory University, amanatu@sph.emory.edu
- (with Ming-Hui Chen and Chris Williams)
- Bayesian dynamic modelling of stock-recruitment relationships
- Renate Meyer, University of Auckland, meyer@stat.auckland.ac.nz
- Delaying rejection in reversible jump Metropolis-Hastings
- Antonietta Mira, University of Pavia, anto@ipvaim.unipv.it
- (with P.J. Green and L. Tierney)
- New criteria for outlier identification
- J. Morales, Universidad Miguel Hernàndez, j.morales@umh.es
- (with M.J. Bayarri)
- Bayesian inference on regional processes of infants and child undernoutrition and mortality in Africa
- Kandala Ngianga-Bakwin, University of Munich, kandala@stat.uni-muenchen.de
- Goodness-of-fit based on measures of surprise
- M.E. Castellanos Nueda, Universidad Miguel Hernàndez, me.castella@umh.es
- (with M.J. Bayarri)
- Randomized Polya trees
- Susan Paddock, RAND Corp., susan@stat.duke.edu
- (with Fabrizio Ruggeri, Michael Lavine and Mike West)
- Bayesian inference using MCMC for diffusion models where the volatility
is a shot-noise stochastic process
- Omiros Papaspiliopoulos, University of Lancaster, o.papaspiliopoulos@lancaster.ac.uk
- (with Gareth Roberts)
- Classical and Bayesian methods in meta-analysis
- George Petrakos, Liaison, Greece, George.Petrakos@liaison.gr
- Geostatistical modelling for spatial interaction data
- Wolfgang Polasek, University of Basel, wolfgang@iso.iso.unibas.ch
- (with A. Gelfand and S. Banejeree)
- Analysis and classification of ECG signals via hierarchical mixture
priors on wavelet based models
- Raquel Prado, Universidad Simón Bolívar, raquel@cesma.usb.ve
- (with Irene Garcia and Pedro Gomis)
- Bayesian estimation of joint survival functions in life insurance
- Arkady Shemyakin, University of St.Thomas, a9shemyakin@stthomas.edu
- (with H Youn)
- Using Bayesian analysis to estimate turkey hunter success rates spatially
- Steven L Sheriff, Missouri Department of Conservation, sheris@mail.conservation.state.mo.us
- (with D Sun, Z He and R Woodard )
- Modelling longitudinal PSA levels and prostate cancer
- Steven J Skates, Massachusetts General Hospital & Harvard Medical School, sskates@partners.org
- (with Donna Paula, Anthony Zietman and Dianne Finkelstein)
- Bayesian analysis of nonhomogeneous Markov chains
- Refik Soyer, George Washington University, soyer@gwis2.circ.gwu.edu
- (with Minje Sung)
- Predicting transaction behaviour using sequence alignment and local regression
- Francesco Vivarelli, NCR Knowledge Lab., francesco.vivarelli@ncr.com
- Bayesian approach in pharmacokinetics models
- Patricia K. Ziegelmann, University of Kent at Canterbury, pkz2@ukc.ac.uk
- (with Phil Brown)
TUESDAY 30 MAY: POSTER SESSION 2
- Robust Bayesian decision theory applied in medicine
- Christophe Abraham, ENSAM INRA, abraham@helios.ensam.inra.fr
- A Bayesian approach for accelerated life tests using length-biased inverse Gaussian distribution
- Olcay Akman, Coastal Carolina University, akmano@ccucs.coastal.edu
- (with Prashant Sansgiry)
- A particle filter approach to non-stationary phases, frequencies and amplitudes of harmonic processes
- Christophe Andrieu, University of Cambridge, ca226@eng.cam.ac.uk
- (with A. Doucet)
- Bayesian methods in spectral analysis of dynamic PET neuroreceptor ligand studies
- John Aston, McGill University, jaston@bic.mni.mcgill.ca
- Application of state-space models and Monte Carlo methods for analyzing
longitudinal data from patients on anticoagulant therapy
- Jorn Attermann, University of Aarhus, jorn@biostat.au.dk
- (with N.T. Andersen, J.M. Hasenkam, S. Lundbye-Christensen and H.F. Thomsen)
- Minimax estimation of a bounded parameter for LINEX loss function
- Agata Boratynska, University of Warsaw, agatab@mimuw.edu.pl
- Dynamic evaluation of liver transplantation programs in France
- Y Chalem, Etablissement Francais des Greffes, ych@biomath.jussieu.fr
- (with J L Golmard)
- Probabilistic inversion for obtaining priors: Applications from recent risk analyses
- Roger Cooke, Delft University of Technology, roger@dutiosa.twi.tudelft.nl
- (with B. Kraan and J. van Noortwijk)
- Sequential Monte Carlo filters for parameter estimation under model uncertainty
- Petar Djuric, State University of New York at Stony Brook, djuric@ece.sunysb.edu
- Quantifying expert opinion in the UK water industry: an experimental study
- Paul Garthwaite, Aberdeen University, p.garthwaite@maths.abdn.ac.uk
- Embedding Bayesian tools in commercial software: Computer demos
- John Geweke, University of Iowa, jgeweke@blue.weeg.uiowa.edu
- (with William McCausland)
- Bayesian analysis of nest survival rates
- Zhuoqiong (Chong) He, University of Missouri, chong@stat.missouri.edu
- (with D Sun and Y Tra)
- Cretan immortals: Bayesian survival analysis of long-term survivors using BUGS software
- Daphne Kounali, University of Manchester, mdehsdk2@man.ac.uk
- (with Anthony Robinson)
- Bayesian modelling and computation for dependent non-Gaussian processes with application
in wavelet analysis of texture images
- Jane Liu, CDC Investment Management Corp. and Duke University, jane@isds.duke.edu, barbaraliu@netscape.net
- Meta-analysis for longitudinal data models using multivariate mixture priors
- Hedibert Freitas Lopes, IM-UFRJ and Duke University, hedibert@stat.duke.edu
- (with Peter Mueller and Gary Rosner)
- An application of binomial state-space model to a study of the
occurrence of respiratory diseases in Danish diary calves
- Soren Lundbye-Christensen, Aalborg University, s0ren@math.auc.dk
- (with Rodrigo Labouriau)
- Predictive mortality graduation and the value at risk
- Manuel Mendoza, ITAM, Mexico, mendoza@gauss.rhon.itam.mx
- (with A.M. Madrigal and E. Gutierrez-Peña)
- Likelihood and Bayesian methods in mixed effects logistic models, with application to the
evaluation of liver transplantation programs in France
- F Mesnil, Etablissement Francais des Greffes, fme@biomath.jussieu.fr
- (with J L Golmard)
- Measuring value-relevance in stock prices, earnings and cash flows using the Gibbs sampler
- Chung-ki Min, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, cmin@maincc.hufs.ac.kr, accmin@inet.polyu.edu.hk
- (with J.B. Kim and C.H. Yi)
- Competing risks in human cognition: A tail of two densities
- Carlos Morales, Boston University, carlosm@math.bu.edu
- (with Mark E. Glickman)
- Multiresolution Bayesian approaches to inverse problems
- Robert Nowak, Rice University, nowak@rice.edu
- Behavior of the posterior in regression with autoregressive errors
- J Lynn Palmer, MD Anderson Cancer Center, jlp@odin.mdacc.tmc.edu
- (with Dennis Cox, Joaquin Diaz and Isabel Llatas)
- Constructing nonparametric priors by mixtures
- Sonia Petrone, sonia.petrone@uni-bocconi.it
- Objective intrinsic Bayes factors for linear models with uncorrelated errors
- Abel Rodriguez, Universidad Simón Bolívar, a.rodriguez@cesma.usb.ve
- Optimizing budget assessment for R&D activities. The experience of the
Argentine agency for development of science and technology
- A. Russo, Universidad Nacional de Quilmes, arusso@unq.edu.ar
- (with M.L. Russo)
- Optimizing sequential processes in bread making using MCMC
- M.L. Russo, P. Martinez, A. Russo and R. Grau, Universidad Nacional de Quilmes
- Simulation and monitoring of project cash flow as MCMC
- A. Russo, M.L. Russo and P. Pascual, Universidad Nacional de Quilmes
- Combining stochastic and dynamic downscaling using a Bayesian approach
- Bruno Sansó, Universidad Simón Bolívar, bruno@cesma.usb.ve
- (with Lelys Guenni)
- Evaluating expected information in structural auction, job search and Roy selection models
- Samita Sareen, University of Toronto, ssareen@chass.utoronto.ca
- Efficiency estimation of U.S. commercial banking: A stochastic frontier approach using Gibbs sampling
- James Sfiridis, Central Connecticut State University, Sfiridis@mail.ccsu.edu
- (with Kenneth Daniels)
- Bayesian estimation of the variation in time of the weight of
the risk factors of the CML after bone marrow transplantation
- M L Tanguy, Societe Francaise des Greffes de Moelle, jlg@biomath.jussieu.fr
- (with J L Golmard, M Michallet and J P Vernant)
- Bayesian portfolio selection in stochastic volatility models
- Kadir Tanyeri, George Washington University, tanyeri@gwis2.circ.gwu.edu
- (with Refik Soyer)
- Binary regression using Fisher's z Link
- Florin Vaida, Harvard School of Public Health, vaida@biostat.harvard.edu
- (with Xiao-Li Meng)
- Spatial and spectral analysis in high energy astrophysics
- David van Dyk, Harvard University, vandyk@stat.harvard.edu
- (with A. Connors, V.L. Kashyap and A. Siemiginowska)
- Bayesian inference on gradual switching GARCH models: Gibbs sampling approach
- Hajime Wago, Niigata University, hwago@fd.catv.ne.jp
- Generalized non-parametric mixed effects model
- Yuedong Wang, University of California at Santa Barbara, yuedong@pstat.ucsb.edu
- (with Peter Karcher)
WEDNESDAY 31 MAY: POSTER SESSION 3
- Analysis of incomplete high-dimensional multivariate normal data using a common factor model
- Thomas Belin, UCLA, tbelin@mednet.ucla.edu
- (with Juwon Song)
- Bayesian analysis of the calibration problem under elliptical distributions
- H. Bolfarine, Universiade de Sao Paulo, hbolfar@ime.usp.br
- (with M. Branco)
- Bayesian semiparametric and noparametric modelling approaches for cytogenetic dosimetry
- Marcia Branco, Universidade de Sao Paulo, mbranco@ime.usp.br
- (with Alan Gelfand and Athanasios Kottas)
- Estimation and model selection in asset pricing models
- David Chan, University of New South Wales, David.Chan@cmis.CSIRO.AU
- (with Robert Kohn)
- Bayesian sequential designs supported on credible regions
- Enrique Gonzalez Davila, Universidad de La Laguna, egonzale@ull.es
- (with J. Ginebra)
- Modelling high monthly wind gusts in Cape Town area: A
multivariate extreme value model with regression
- D.J. de Waal, University of the Orange Free State, wwdw@wwg3.uovs.ac.za
- Bayesian process control charts
- Chikobvu Delson, University of the Orange Free State, delson@wwg3.uovs.ac.za
- Image restoration using Kalman filter techniques
- Claus Dethlefsen, Aalborg University, dethlef@mailhost.math.auc.dk
- MLwiN: Hierarchical/multilevel modelling software
- David Draper, University of Bath, d.draper@maths.bath.ac.uk
- (with Bill Browne)
- Parametric and semi-parametric Bayesian models for accelerated life test
- Alaattin Erkanli, Duke University, al@psych.mc.duke.edu
- (with Refik Soyer and Jason Merrick)
- The Bayesian marginal likelihood in the diffuse Kalman Filter and the
general linear model with noninformative priors
- Marc K. Francke, Free University of Amsterdam, FranckeM@gba.amsterdam.nl
- (with Aart F. de Vos)
- On multivariate stochastic volatility models
- Stefanos Giakoumatos, Athens University of Economics and Business, stefanos@aueb.gr
- (with P. Dellaportas and D.N. Politis)
- The deductive phase of statistical inference via predictive simulations: A food industry case study
- Philippe P. Girard, Laboratoire GRESE/ENGREF, girard@engref.fr
- (with Eric Parent)
- The estimation of switchpoints in multi-path linear regression
- Piet Groenewald, Univesity of the Free State SA, wwpg@wwg3.uovs.ac.za
- Chromosome dosimetry after accidental exposure to radiation
- Peter Groer, University of Tennessee, groer@utk.edu
- Bayesian methods for claims reserving
- A. Hazan, University of Haifa, stdx@rstat.haifa.ac.il
- (with U. Makov)
- Bayesian and entropy methods in a model of US crop supply
- Jonathan Kaplan, University of California-Davis, kaplan@primal.ucdavis.edu
- Bayesian analysis of Social Security's disability determination process: Estimation of a nested logit model by MCMC
- Kajal Lahiri, SUNY Albany, KL758@cnsvax.albany.edu
- (with J. Gao, J. Hu and B. Wixon)
- A challenge for statistical instructors: Teaching Bayesian inference
without discarding the "official" significance tests
- Bruno LeCoutre, CNRS et Universite de Rouen, bruno.lecoutre@univ-rouen.fr
- (with Jean-Marie Grouin and Marie-Paule Lecoutre)
- A Bayesian approach to uncertainty analysis and model calibration in atmospheric pollution models
- John D. McClure, University of Glasgow, johndm@stats.gla.ac.uk
- A Bayesian method to analyse cancer survival times using the Weibull model
- P.J. Mostert, University of South Africa, pjmos@fharga.sun.ac.za
- (with A. Bekker and J.J.J. Roux)
- A Bayesian approach in statistical inferences on horse racing prediction
- Dries M. Naude, University of the Orange Free State, Dries@wwg3.uovs.ac.za
- (with DJ de Waal)
- A Bayesian model to forecast sales and competitive interactions in new product categories:
An application to high technology consumer electronics
- Ramya Neelamegham, University of Colorado at Boulder, neelamegham@hotmail.com
- (with Chintagunta Pradeep)
- On prior distributions for variable selection
- Ioannis Ntzoufras, Athens University of Economics and Business, jbn@stat-athens.stats.aueb.gr
- (with P. Dellaportas and J.J. Forster)
- Analysis of elliptical measurement error models with applications to the study of air pollution
- Wilfredo Palma, Catholic University of Chile, wilfredo@mat.puc.cl
- (with R. Arellano-Valle and P. Iglesias)
- Improving on the MLE of a bounded normal mean
- Francois Perron, University of Montreal, perronf@dms.umontreal.ca
- (with Eric Marchand)
- Bayesian density estimation and inference using the mixed linear model and the Dirichlet process prior
- Albertus L. Pretorius, University of the Orange Freestate, pretoral@wwg3.uovs.ac.za
- (with Abrie J. van der Merwe)
- Bayesian network modeling of atmospheric nitrogen deposition at watershed scale
- Peter Principe, EPA, principe.peter@epa.gov
- Nonparametric Bayesian clustering and product partition models
- Fernando Quintana, Catholic University Chile, quintana@mat.pucem.cl
- (with Pilar Iglesias and Michael Newton)
- Hierarchical Bayesian analysis for the number of species
- Josemar Rodrigues, vjosemar@power.ufscar.br
- Calculating Bayes factors for variance component testing in generalized linear mixed models
- Sandip Sinharay, Iowa State University, ssray@iastate.edu
- (with Hal Stern)
- Technical trading rules: An empirical investigation in Athens stock exchange
- Zontos Sotiris, Technical University of Crete, zontos@orpheas.dpem.tuc.gr
- (with Christos Skiadas, Yiannis Valvis and Yiannis Kasotakis)
- Empirical Bayes modelling and computations in final offer arbitration
- Tim Swartz, Simon Fraser University, tim@cs.sfu.ca
- Bayesian method of moments for the mixed linear model
- Abrie J. van der Merwe, University of the Orange Freestate, fay@wwg3.uovs.ac.za
- (with Albertus L. Pretorius)
- Multivariate combination ARCH model: A new approach
- Ioannis Vrontos, Athens University of Economics and Business, vrontos@stat-athens.aueb.gr
- (with P. Dellaportas and D.N. Politis)
- Stopping rules in auditing and tax inspection: An empirical Bayesian approach
- F. Jan Wille, Free University of Amsterdam, wille@tinbergen.nl
- (with Aart F. de Vos)
- Methods of estimating marginal likelihoods and an application in time series diagnostics
- Karen Young, University of Surrey, mas1ky@ee.surrey.ac.uk
- (with Lawrence Pettit)