Robert L Wolpert Office: 211-C Old Chemistry Building Phone: +1-919-684-3275 Fax:     +1-919-684-8594 E-mail: wolpert@stat.duke.edu Mailing Address: Duke Univ Dept Statistical Science 211c Old Chem, Box 90251 Durham, NC 27708-0251 USA

• A short description of my current research interests.
• Recent research papers, presentations, my cv, or Duke's S@D website.
• Upcoming (F17) course:

  STA 711 Probability & Measure Theory

  DukeHub

  Sakai

• Past courses:

  STA 230/MTH 230	Probability	F05, F08, F09, F10, F13		STA 711	Prob & Measure	F12, F13, F14, F15, F16, F17
  STA 250/MTH 342	Statistics	S00, S01, S09, F09, S11 S15		STA 732	Stat Inference	S00, S01, S02, S05, S06, S07
  STA 532	Theo Inference	S15, S16		STA 961	Stoch Proc	Earlier, S12, S14, S16
  STA 832	Multivariate	S10, S13		STA 690	Topics	F98, F01, F02, S04, S08

• Go to the Statistical Science, Arts & Sciences, NSOE (Duke Forest), or Duke (Today) home pages.

• Member, ITAC (Information Technology Advisory Council) and of its Steering Committee (docs)
• Core Member, LSST (Large Synoptic Survey Telescope) ISSC (Informatics and Statistics Science Collaboration)
• Council Member, Jetscape (Jet energy-loss tomography) HEP collaboration
• Member, RCAC (Research Computing Advisory Council)
• Scientific Coordinator, SAMSI Astro Stat program (working docs)
• Team Member, D-CIPHER Bass Connections project,
• Friend & supporter of the: APS of Durham, Cornell Ornithology lab, Duke Lemur Center, Duke Park Neighborhood, Ellerbe Creek Watershed Assn, Museum of Life & Science, Nasher Museum of Art, NC Zoo, Piatigorsky Foundation, Walking Fish CSF, WCPE, WNCU.

Recent and Upcoming Conferences & Presentations

Recent Research Papers

• Redefine Statistical Significance with DJ Benjamin, JO Berger, M Johannesson, B Nosek, E Wagenmakers, and 67 other authors (2017). Nature Human Behavior.
• Tail waiting times and the extremes of stochastic processes , with JE Johndrow (2016). arXiv:1512.07848 [math.ST] Submitted.
• ACME: A Partially Periodic Estimator of Avian & Chiropteran Mortality at Wind Turbines (2016), arXiv:1507.00749 [stat.AP] Submitted.
• Stationary Gaussian Markov processes as limits of stationary autoregressive time series , with PA Ernst, LD Brown, and L Shepp (2017). J Multivariate Analysis 155, 180–186.
• Geometric representations of Random Hypergraphs with Simón Lunagómez, Sayan Mukherjee, and Edoardo M. Airoldi (2017). JASA 112(517), 363–383. DOI 10.1080/01621459.2016.1141686, arXiv:0912.3648 [math.ST].
• The Longevity of Lava Dome Eruptions, with SE Ogburn and ES Calder (2016). J Geophysical Research: Solid Earth 121(3), 676–686.
• Pooling strength amongst limited datasets using hierarchical Bayesian analysis, with application to pyroclastic density current mobility metrics with SE Ogburn, JO Berger, ES Calder, DL Lopes, AK Patra, EB Pitman, R Rutarindwa, and ET Stiller (2016). Statistics in Volcanology 2(1), 1–26.
• Geometric representations of hypergraphs for prior specification and posterior sampling with Simón Lunagómez and Sayan Mukherjee (2015). In Current Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications, ch. 19, 391–414.
• A Physics-Based Emulator for the Simulation of Geophysical Mass Flows, with Asif Mahmood and E Bruce Pitman (2015). SIAM/ASA J Uncertainty Quantification 3(1), 562–585.
• Quantifying properties of hot and dense QCD matter through systematic model-to-data comparison, with JE Bernhard, PW Marcy, CE Coleman-Smith, S Huzurbazar, and SA Bass (2015). arXiv:1502.00339 [nucl-th] Phys Rev C. 91(5), 1–15.
• Probabilistic quantification of hazards: A methodology using small ensembles of physics based simulations and statistical surrogates, with MJ Bayarri, JO Berger, ES Calder, AK Patra, EB Pitman, and ET Stiller (2015). International J of Uncertainty Quantification 5(4), 297–339.

More papers are on my curriculum vitæ.