Robert L Wolpert Office: 211-C Old Chemistry Building Phone: +1-919-684-3275 Fax:      +1-919-684-8594 E-mail: rlw@duke.edu Mailing Address: Duke Univ Dept Statistical Science 211c Old Chem, Box 90251 Durham, NC 27708-0251 USA

• A short description of my current research interests.
• Recent research papers, presentations, my cv, Google Scholar, or Duke's S@D website.
• Upcoming (F19) course:

  STA 711 Probability & Measure Theory

• Past courses:

  STA 230/MTH 230	Probability	F05, F08, F09, F10, F13, F18		STA 711	Prob & Measure	F14, F15, F16, F17, F18, F19.
  STA 250/MTH 342	Statistics	S00, S01, S09, F09, S11 S15		STA 732	Stat Inference	S00, S01, S02, S05, S06, S07
  STA 532	Theo Inference	S15, S16		STA 961	Stoch Proc	Earlier, S12, S14, S16
  STA 832	Multivariate	S10, S13		STA 690	Topics	F98, F01, F02, S04, S08

• Go to DukeHub or Sakai
• Go to the Statistical Science (Wiki), Arts & Sciences, NSOE (Duke Forest), or Duke (Today) home pages.

• Member, ITAC (Information Technology Advisory Council) and of its Steering Committee (docs)
• Core Member, LSST (Large Synoptic Survey Telescope) ISSC (Informatics and Statistics Science Collaboration)
• Council Member, Jetscape (Jet energy-loss tomography) HEP collaboration
• Member, RCAC (Research Computing Advisory Council)
• Friend & supporter of the: APS of Durham, Art Institute of Chicago, Cornell Ornithology lab, Duke Lemur Center, Duke Park Neighborhood, Ellerbe Creek Watershed Assn, Museum of Life & Science, Nasher Museum of Art, NC Zoo, Piatigorsky Foundation, Walking Fish CSF, WCPE, Whitney Museum, WNCU.

Recent and Upcoming Conferences & Presentations

Recent Research Papers

• Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Mapping: A New Flexible Approach Suited to Crisis Management, with ET Spiller, ES Calder, SE Ogburn, MJ Bayarri, JO Berger, AK Patra, & EB Pitman. Submitted.
• Approximate Bayesian Computation for Finite Mixture Models, arxiv:1803.10031 [stat.ME], with U Simola and J Cisewski-Kehe. Submitted.
• Emulation of Computer models with Multivariate output, with K Kyzyurova & JO Berger. Submitted.
• Improving Exoplanet Detection Power: Multivariate Gaussian Process Models for Stellar Activity, arxiv:1711.01318 [astro-ph.IM], with DE Jones, DC Stenning, EB Ford, TJ Loredo, and X Dumusque. Under revision.
• Tail waiting times and the extremes of stochastic processes , with JE Johndrow. arXiv:1512.07848 [math.ST] Under revision.
• ACME: A Partially Periodic Estimator of Avian & Chiropteran Mortality at Wind Turbines, arXiv:1507.00749 [stat.AP] Submitted.
• Coupling Computer Models through Linking their Statistical Emulators, with KN Kyzyurova & JO Berger. SIAM/ASA J Uncertainty Quantification 6(3), 1151–1171. DOI: 10.1137/17M1157702.
• Dynamic Statistical Models for Pyroclastic Density Current Generation at Soufriére Hills Volcano, with ET Spiller & ES Calder (2018). Frontiers in Earth Science: Geohazards and Georisks 6(55). DOI: 10.3389/feart.2018.00055.
• Multistage Monte-Carlo simulation of jet modification in a static medium, with S Cao, C Park, and the JETScape Consortium (2017). Phys Review (C) 96, 024909. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevC.96.024909.
• Stationary Gaussian Markov processes as limits of stationary autoregressive time series , with PA Ernst, LD Brown, and L Shepp (2017). J Multivariate Analysis 155, 180–186. DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2016.12.008.
• Geometric representations of Random Hypergraphs, with Simón Lunagómez, Sayan Mukherjee, and Edoardo M. Airoldi (2017). JASA 112(517), 363–383. DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2016.1141686, arXiv:0912.3648 [math.ST].
• Redefine Statistical Significance, with DJ Benjamin, JO Berger, M Johannesson, B Nosek, E Wagenmakers, and 67 other authors (2017). Nature Human Behavior 1(0189). DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/MKY9J
• The Longevity of Lava Dome Eruptions, with SE Ogburn and ES Calder (2016). J Geophysical Research: Solid Earth 121(3), 676–686. DOI: 10.1002/2015JB012435.

More papers are on my curriculum vitæ.