STA250: Statistics, based loosely on DeGroot & Schervish ---------------------------------------- Week 4: MLE Estimation [ This week's notes need expansion ] 7.5 Maximum Likelihood Estimators: - Simple EGs: Bi(n, th); Po(th); Ex(th); Ge(th). - Moderate EGs: Be(alp, bet); Ga(alp, bet); NB(alp, beta). - Important EG: No(mu, sig) - Cautionary EG: Uniform on [0,\th] (work out in detail) - Discouraging EG: Un[\th-1, \th+1] - Alarming EG: 1/2 No(0,1) + 1/2 No(mu, sig^2), mu & sig unknown. 7.6 Properties of MLE's: - Invariance to change of vbl's - Optimization: e.g. est'g \alpha for Gamma dist'n, or Cauchy median - Consistency: asymptotically, MLE \hat\th_n(X) -> \th (proof for L2 distributions; brief chat about convergence notions) - Asymptotic Normality ========================================================================= For this material see latex notes "suff.pdf" 7.7 Sufficient Statistics: - "Statistic" is function T = r(X_1,...,X_n) of observations, such as sample mean, maximum, 17. - T is "suff for \th" if joint distn of [ X | T ] doesn't depend on \th Illustrate with Bernoullis & T=sum - Factorization Criterion: f(x|\th) = h(x) v[r(x),\th] <-> T=r(x) sufficient 7.8 - Jointly sufficient (vector-valued T) - Examples of INsufficiency; examples where x-bar, s^2 are not sufficient; 7.9 Improving an Estimator: Rao-Blackwell - Warning re: robustness (eg: median, trimmed mean for No location) - Apply Rao-Blackwell to median =========================================================================