27.2 a) The SE for the difference is 5.9%, so z = 2.4/5.9 = .4; which likely means that the difference is due to chance. b) Yes. SE(difference) = 1.8, z = 4.9/1.8 = 2.7, p = .003. 27.3 a) You need a two sample test (there are two samples!). b) Two boxes. Each box has one ticket for each person in the population (marked with a 1 or 0). Each sample is like 1000 draws from the appropriate box. Null hypothesis says that the boxes have equal percentages of 1s (clergy >= high), the alternative hypothesis says the 1992 box has a lower percentage of 1s. c) The estimated SEs for the boxes are about 1.5%; SE of the difference is about 2.2%. z = (67-54)/2.2= about 6, so p = about 0. The difference is real, but this test doesn't tell you what the cause might be. 27.5 The data say that the difference is real. SE(difference)=4.2%. z= (46%-88%)/4.2% = 10! 27.10 The samples are not chosen at random... there is dependence between the first- and second-born children, so the test is not legitimate. 28.1 a) i; b) iii. See p 541-2 (ex. 3-6). 28.2 ii. 28.3 Using the method of section 4... X^2 with 4 df is about 30... p <<.001 This is not chance variation. 28.4 a) it is a chance (probability) histogram. b) the chance that 5 <= X^2 < 5.2. c) ii d) 10%, 28.5 a) ... bigger with 10 df than with 5 df. b) ... bigger with 15 than with 20. 28.6 Using the method of section 3... The observed frequencies are too close to the expected frequencies: X^2 = 2 on 10 df, so p < 1%. Don't play dice with him. 28.9 a) Use the method of section 4. X^2 = 11 on 2 df, p < .01. Slightly older people are more likely to get married. b) Yes.