STA 360/602: Bayesian Methods and Modern Statistics
This is a rough schedule for the course and will be updated regularly. Please check this frequently for adjustments. Announcements will be posted here and made in class. It will be up to you to keep up to date on all class announcements and web announcements made for the course. Please read in ISLR or supplementary material before coming to class.
The course syllabus, labs, and course slides can be found at Course materials
Homeworks (based on lecture and lab) will all be posted on Sakai (and submissions should be done on Sakai as well). Expect about 8--10 assignments for the entire semester. (You lowest homework grade will be dropped). No late homeworks are accepted.
Supplementary reading
I have written both undergraduate and graduate level notes. Please feel free to use these to complement Hoff as needed. Please do watch out for typos!
Some of Bayesian Methods: The Essential Parts (Graduate Level), Author: Rebecca C. Steorts
Note: Chapter 5 has typos that I have no had time to fix and some parts are not
as clear as I would like. Nevertheless, this should give you some extra examples
and explanations different from Hoff.
Baby Bayes using R, Author: Rebecca C. Steorts
This material was meant for undergraduate students as a cross-displinary introduction to Bayesian methods, without assuming a knowledge of calculus except that a density integrates to 1. If you're having trouble with Hoff, either as an undergraduate or graduate student, consider reading parts of this. Also, there is
an introduction to probability and statistics (akin with Ch 2 in Hoff). I will assume that you know this. This is all fair game for exams.
Lecture notes
Module 0: Introduction and Course Expectations
Module 1: An introduction to Bayesian methods
Module 2: An introduction to Decision Theory
- Module 2 Slides
- Read Read Ch 2.1 -- 2.4 of "Some of Bayesian Methods". This is not covered in Hoff.
Module 3: An introduction to Normal-Normal Model
- Module 3 Slides,
- Read Ch 2, Example 2.7 and 2.8 (in terms of variance derivations) of "Some of Bayesian Methods"
Module 4: An introduction to Normal-Gamma Model
Module 5: Objective (Non-informative or Default Bayes)
- Module 5 Slides,
- Read Hoff, Chapter 4.
- Read Chapter 5.1, 5.3 of Some of Bayesian Statistics
Remark: The slides will cover examples not always in Hoff or the notes.
Module 6: An introduction to Monte Carlo
- Module 6 Slides,
- Read Hoff, Chapter 4.
- Read Chapter 5.1, 5.3 of Some of Bayesian Statistics
Remark: The slides will cover examples not always in Hoff or the notes.
Module 7: An introduction to Metropolis
- Module 7 Slides -- Metropolis
- The reading below covers the reading for Metroplis and Gibbs sampling.
- Read Hoff, Ch 6
- Read Chapter 5.2 of "Some of Bayesian Statistics"
- For the Metropolis Algorithm, read Hoff 10.2
Module 8: An introduction to Gibbs sampling, missing data, and data augmentation
Module 9: The Multivariate Normal Distribution and Missing Data
Module 10: Linear Regression and Probit Regression
Module 11: Model Selection, the g-prior, and model avergaging
Additional readings:
- Credible Intervals): Cred intervals are covered on pages 52 and 267 of Hoff.
Read Ch 4.1--4.1 (Cred intervals) in "Some of Bayesian Statistics"
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